Faith in Climate Models is Foolish


That’s the atmospheric warming threshold—the tipping point—that the public has been led to believe must be avoided at all costs. The climate catechism contends since the last Ice Age, some 12,000 years ago, the planet was naturally unthawing just fine until humans discovered the energy available through the use of fossil fuels and capitalists, exploiting labor, launched the Industrial Revolution.  Billions of humans later—with their countless polluting cars, trucks, buses, trains, planes—the temperature has risen 1.2o Celsius, and it’s soon to hit the danger mark of 1.5o if we don’t quickly conform to Net Zero.

If that doesn’t work, more drastic measures must be considered because all of the experts with their computer models say so. And trust me, drastic measures are being designed by both governments and billionaires.

But, taking a step back, let’s imagine a conversation with your average climate change believer.

You ask,“If we’ve already reached warming worth 1.2 o C, what’s another point-3-degrees going to look like? Will we even notice the difference in average temperature?”

The climate disciple will immediately go to Google and then respond, “The planet is currently experiencing some of the warmest weather on record.”

“And what about the recent record cold temperatures?”

Feeling it unnecessary to engage their phone, they quickly answer, “There are none.”

“Really? Last winter the summit of Mount Washington, New Hampshire reported a wind-chill of minus 78 Celsius (-108 Fahrenheit) — the coldest temperature ever recorded in the United States. California had its firth coldest March since 1885.”

“That’s not the world, that’s the United States.”

“You’re correct. How ‘bout this? In 2021, the average temperature at the South Pole between their winter months of April and September, was minus-78 degrees Fahrenheit (minus-61 Celsius), the coldest on record;  The extreme cold pushed sea ice levels surrounding the Antarctica to their one of their highest levels on record.”

“Fake news.”

“No. It’s real info from the United States Antarctic Program administered by the National Science Foundation, and the National Snow and Ice Data Center.”

Meh,” the person shrugs, flipping to their TokTok feed.

And as for those climate models?  There’s a big problem.

Clouds associated with thunderstorms play a major role in the climate cycle, as they reflect the sun’s energy back into space and also trap the heat that rises from the surface; but climate models cannot accurately account for thunderstorms, nor clouds, or even water vapor. Additionally, the models are unable to replicate the actions produced powerful ocean currents which are essentially massive weather conveyor belts.  Weather patterns are driven by these currents, which are created by a combination of surface winds, water temperature and salinity gradients, Earth’s rotation, and the gravitational effects of the sun and moon which create the tides.  These magnificent ocean currents transport warm water and precipitation from the equator toward the poles and cold water from the poles back to the tropics, regulating the global climate and counteracting the uneven distribution of solar radiation reaching Earth’s surface.

The models can’t handle these features.

So, what do the climate modelers do when they just don’t know?

They approximate.

And what they can’t approximate they omit.

Perhaps this is why the models have a dismal track record. Apart from failing to predict a pause in global warming in the early 2000s, the models are known even by modelers to consistently run hot.

Could it be human bias and political agenda weighs in to the estimations made by certain modelers?

Brian Sussman

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